Is There A Shortage of Calls for Pastoral Candidates?

Tuesday, June 8, 2010 by L. Dean Hempelmann
Dale Meyer, President, Concordia Seminary, St. Louis, writes a follow-up to his video on recruitment, saying “many who responded shared their concern about the shortage of calls in recent years, including this year.  They also shared that it would be difficult to recruit when there is not an apparent need for pastors.  We should have addressed this issue in the video.  So thanks to you who have raised this important matter!  You can access the video at this link:
http://cslmedia.org/recruitment_alumni

Concerning the shortage of calls:  Concordia Seminary, St. Louis, now has only three M.Div. students awaiting a call.  Each one of these three is still awaiting placement because of specific needs in the candidate’s personal situation.  The other calls pending include one candidate in DELTO who is awaiting a call because he has not completed the requirements necessary for placement.  Two Cross-Cultural Ministry candidates are serving and will receive their official placement upon successful completion of their internships.  In addition, deaconess students are awaiting calls.   To offer additional background, in 2008 Concordia Seminary, St. Louis had 25 pastoral candidates not placed on Call Day but they were placed by the end of the summer.  In 2009 only 2 CSL students were not placed on Call Day and they were placed soon afterwards.  Our Director of Placement tells us that he has already received 9 placement requests for 2011.

Concerning future needs for clergy within the LCMS: recent studies have shown that 300-350 seminary graduates would be needed annually in order to replace the number of pastors who are leaving the clergy roster annually due to retirement, death, or other personal reasons.  Please refer to http://www.lcms.org/graphics/assets/media/pastoral%20education/case.pdf  for further information.   This projection does not take into account any new ministries that might be established.  I relate personally to this paragraph, since my classmates are beginning to retire and my days are numbered!

The same study also illustrates that current supply will not meet the projected need.  Future supply will be further impacted by a 50% drop of students in the pre-seminary programs of the Concordia University System.  While programs such as SMP may generate additional clergy, the “What a Way” case document emphasizes the need for general pastors to supervise these graduates.

According to an article in the June 2010 “Christian Century,” the “glut” in pastoral supply at the present time will turn to a shortage of pastors in 5-7 years.  The same article cites an official of the Evangelical Lutheran Church in America who suggests that an improvement in the economy may triple the number of retirements, thus increasing the need for pastors.  The article may be found at http://www.christiancentury.org/article.lasso?id=8469

Finally, something of the utmost importance to our future mission: meeting the need addressed above is ministry maintenance.  Not only do we want to maintain congregations and ministries, we want our synod to move into a growth mode and with growth will come need for ever more pastors.  I pray for the day when the field will be saying, ‘Give us more pastors!’”

Comments for Is There A Shortage of Calls for Pastoral Candidates?

Thursday, June 10, 2010 by CSL IT Dept:
Thanks for posting this article! The link to Dr. Meyer's video is incorrect. You can access the video at: http://cslmedia.org/recruitment_alumni God bless!
Friday, June 11, 2010 by Carl Rockrohr:
The information shared above concerning the placement of pastors is from Concordia Seminary, St. Louis. What are the statistics for the Ft. Wayne seminary please? What a Way is supposed to represent both seminaries, correct?
Friday, June 11, 2010 by L. Dean Hempelmann:
If we would get something official from Dean, giving his perspective, as we did from Dale, we would blog about it. We would also hope to hear from other seminaries, especially those who are part of the Association of Theological Schools in the United States and Canada. What's the situation in Christian Churches with regard to need for pastors, teachers, deaconesses, and other church workers? The discussion of this topic is in the Wall Street Journal, Christianity Today, USA Today, Christian Century, and a host of places. By the way, What a Way exists “to rebuild active recruitment and retention as an integral part of the LCMS culture and lifestyle at the local congregational level to the end that the love of Christ is made known vigorously by word and deed within our churches, communities, and the world. Thus, we do not act in the place of or for (represent) districts, boards, commissions, institutions, and agencies of the church. We do bolster their recruitment and retention efforts in every way possible, and we hope they stand with us in this effort.
Friday, June 11, 2010 by Shawn Hazel:
The end of the article is really the most important, hopefully everyone reads to there. Synod, district, circuits and congregations need to look for places for mission congregations, beginning new ministries. Along with that colleges and seminaries need to find those with the aptitude for that challenge and train/apprentice/release them for a mission start.
Friday, June 11, 2010 by Dan Czaplewski:
On a personal level-it is good to see Dr. Hempelmann moving into the 21st Century - a BLOG, oh my! The "glut" on the pastoral market is, I believe, slowing the movement of pastors currently serving. I would like to see statistics on how many pastors are moving from parish to parish these days. The housing market and sluggish economy are part of this, but I do wonder if there is a national trend of pastors "staying put" because there aren't additional calls being issued.
Monday, June 14, 2010 by Nathan Schuetze:
I know that there is data out there that claims that we either need or will soon need more pastors than are graduating currently. I would also point out that the same type of argument has been used to try and win support for both seminaries for quite some time. It has also proven to be, in both me experience, and the experience of many other men whom I know, to be patently false. That there is currently a heavy shortage of Pastors in the LCMS is actually the opposite of what I see, where good and qualified men, believing that God may be calling them to another place for ministry, inquire of their District Presidents simply to discover that there are not many calls to be had. The fact that the seminaries have to scramble at all to find calls for all the men that graduate disproves the very point that there is currently a pastoral shortage. The “when they retire” argument is also another tired old argument. I’ve been hearing it for most of my life, and it has yet to be proven true. Men typically do not retire when eligible, and even when they do, it is often to part-time ministry, rather than out of Pastoral activity completely. Please understand, I do not doubt the sincerity of the argument, but considering my own and other’s histories, I simply cannot agree with the argument that we have, or soon will have a major shortage of Pastors. I’m sorry, but I have heard the boy cry wolf far too many times.
Monday, June 21, 2010 by L. Dean Hempelmann:
Celebrate More Placements for Candidates! Yes! Celebrate today as six more men received their first calls into the Holy Ministry at Concordia Theological Seminary, Fort Wayne, according to a CTS News Release. Glen commented to me as he forwarded the message, “As I thought, the “call pending” candidates are being placed. I would hope that by the end of the summer they will all be placed.” I, too, pray the same, and that is usually what God does, place all candidates within a couple of months, just as they are ready to end their preparation and begin their pastoral duties.
Monday, June 21, 2010 by L. Dean Hempelmann:
I suspect there are some who might still agree with Nathan’s comment, but the What a Way Case Document at http://www.lcms.org/graphics/assets/media/Pastoral%20Education/Case.pdf contains material that was not available until January 2010 and the document was published in April 2010. The Case Document uses actuarial tabulations from Towers-Perrin, commissioned by Concordia Plan Services, showing exactly what is happening to the clergy population as a result of retirements, deaths, and other personal reasons. Also the latest information from compilations made by the Board for Pastoral Education and the Board for University Education are cited. What’s happened for Ministers of Religion Commissioned is based on the latest analysis by LCMS Rosters and Statistics. All of this helps us better understand projected needs and supply. The conclusion clearly is this: The number of LCMS ministers of religion ordained and commissioned will be dramatically less in the decades to come if current trends continue and no intervening action is taken. Finally, there are 325 pastoral vacancies based on 23-29 April 2010 data figures from the District Presidents. These vacancies are sufficient in number for proper movement of pastors within the church body.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010 by Rymond Van Buskirk:
I have been tracking the obits in the Lutheran Witness. What I have noticed is that the average age of retirement of those pastors is about 65. Some do work part-time after retirement and that is a blessing to us.

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